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eigenrobot's profile
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@eigenrobot

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eigenrobot

@eigenrobot

robot. friend.

eigenrobot.substack.com
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    1. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Aug 25

      eigenrobot Retweeted Martin

      an Expert is someone we gotta trust no matter what we see looking at his track record predicting out of samplehttps://twitter.com/russiancosmist/status/1430306225636446213 …

      eigenrobot added,

      Martin @russiancosmist
      Locked RT, can't claim any credit for this: pic.twitter.com/8mDjHCp9WI
      27 replies 51 retweets 468 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Scriv‏ @LossFunxionLovr Aug 25
      Replying to @eigenrobot

      He keeps giving valid conditionals, yes? He's not saying "this is what'll happen," he's saying "X will happen if sociological factors line up at Y," which they do not, which doesn't seem on him or his prediction scopes.

      2 replies 0 retweets 14 likes
      eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Aug 25
      Replying to @LossFunxionLovr

      I see conditional statements in two of four. one condition is so vague as to be useless here and one was already met at the time that he stated it.

      6:18 AM - 25 Aug 2021
      • 24 Likes
      • codingAlong David Johnston Tochaz Sernie Banders american biologist Klang Divia Eden Dainon Jensen (((MarikoPGaisutu)))
      4 replies 0 retweets 24 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Scriv‏ @LossFunxionLovr Aug 25
          Replying to @eigenrobot

          I anticipate he has been a doctor most of his life and a good-meaning public official in the midst of a complete dissociative national audience for a short time, and he's learning on the job. It's hard to appear consistent when the audience/ethics/incentives move on you daily.

          3 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Aug 25
          Replying to @LossFunxionLovr

          sure its probably hard and im sure hes a very nice person. and none of this contradicts this evidence that his public statements are not epistemically reliable

          2 replies 0 retweets 14 likes
        4. Show replies
        1. Day of the Pachyderm‏ @guckguckdoose Aug 25
          Replying to @eigenrobot @LossFunxionLovr

          are those his stated conditions or the conditions interpreted from his statements by the headline writer?

          0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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        1. New conversation
        2. Jernik‏ @JernikKross Aug 25
          Replying to @eigenrobot @LossFunxionLovr

          OK but what were his actual statements in those cases? It feels like Twitter headlines aren't the best source

          1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
        3. Scriv‏ @LossFunxionLovr Aug 25
          Replying to @JernikKross @eigenrobot

          I agree with the cash value of dismissing or grain of salting his words (I haven't heard anything he's said in over a year), but it doesn't have much to do with anything he has much agency over. I don't care what he says, but that's hardly on him or the changing dynamics.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Ummon Karpe | 𑀅𑀫𑀦 𑀓𑀭𑀧𑁂‏ @The_Equationist Aug 25
          Replying to @eigenrobot @LossFunxionLovr

          Right, because news headlines never leave out conditionals and clarifying context in search of clicks

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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