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eigenrobot

@eigenrobot

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eigenrobot.substack.com
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    1. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Aug 19

      eigenrobot Retweeted OSINTtechnical

      claim: Taliban routing tons of fighters into kabul sort of wonder if there was a window for increasing US capabilities in the capitol that started last week when people realized shit was going sideways but has diminished rather dramatically since and continues to closehttps://twitter.com/Osinttechnical/status/1428569807587356672 …

      eigenrobot added,

      OSINTtechnical @Osinttechnical
      /rant back in for a second here Our chances of taking on the Taliban successfully were high earlier this week, but more and more fighters are pouring into Kabul. At the same time these new fighters are hostile to the US and a larger presence gives the Taliban more confidence.
      Show this thread
      12 replies 1 retweet 50 likes
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    2. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Aug 19

      one interesting thing though is that the entire economy of Afghanistan might be on the verge of collapsing im not a domain expert, this is just speculation but impression is that huge portions of the economy and esp. government were dependent on foreign aid and that is Gone now

      5 replies 0 retweets 31 likes
      Show this thread
      eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Aug 19

      reportedly government checks are supposed to go out on the 31st and clearly wont so who knows. Taliban might be in deep shit if their fighters decide they actually wanna get paid at some point, and leadership can't get donors lined up

      11:45 PM - 19 Aug 2021
      • 32 Likes
      • Caroline01 mastaprincess codingAlong Jethan Pray & Boycott China Threnye The Floomer King Whitney 'n Tarnation 🦐🚂 strawman
      7 replies 0 retweets 32 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Harbor‏ @Tallytargets Aug 19
          Replying to @eigenrobot

          Poppies (heroin), mineral rights (possibly to China but who knows) and now growing meth labs. Also taxes on shipping through to Central Asia and Iran. They’ll be ok but quality of life in the cities will go way down

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Show replies
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        2. chase patterson‏ @chasewpatterson Aug 20
          Replying to @eigenrobot

          I guess I’m not so cynical as to believe Taliban fighters were previously dependent on government checks one way or another finding there way into their hands (though perhaps I should be).

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Aug 20
          Replying to @chasewpatterson

          to the extent that government forces went over en masse they may have been also old Taliban regime may have taken in a ton of international aid reportedly the Buddha statue blowing up was related to nonpayment of some stream of aid

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation
        1. New conversation
        2. 六龙大君 Cultiral Literati (on the Jianghu scene)‏ @MencianLegalism Aug 20
          Replying to @eigenrobot

          The taliban isn't exactly a well-regulated army that needs regular pay to continue operating...

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. 六龙大君 Cultiral Literati (on the Jianghu scene)‏ @MencianLegalism Aug 20
          Replying to @MencianLegalism @eigenrobot

          "The French king pays his Frenchmen with pomade(luxury) We receive our pay accurately every week Damn, moors, thunder and the holy element, Who receives his money as fast as the Prussian?" https://youtu.be/8uIPG-UrANM?t=203 …

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation
        1. Eric Richards‏ @EricRichards22 Aug 20
          Replying to @eigenrobot

          If the government draw checks didn't go out on time here, there'd probably be a revolution within a week...

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. MikeJedi‏ @MikePadiwan Aug 20
          Replying to @eigenrobot

          Maybe "economic collapse" has special meaning here. Starbucks Kabul probably closing, Goats-and-Opium economy probably OK. Suspect Tali's base is one and not the other.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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