ok so gaming this out a bit there are probably several dozen thousand people we want to get out of Afghanistan of them maybe a dozen thousand Americans according to various government things we basically own the airport but Taliban control everything else i think were fucked,
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anyway this is just a guess, maybe they figure something else out and actually get people to the airport. maybe seizing afghan reserves and holding those hostage will work. maybe a miracle occurs but this seems like whats going on rn
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wrt "reserves" this is what im talking about saw a story about this earlier, this is a good elaboration tldr we have all of the old governments money frozen outside of Afghanistan https://twitter.com/aahmady/status/1427883009164955649?s=19 …
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so id imagine the hostage negotiation involves the return of this money at least
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are you seeing ~12k Americans suggested somewhere that gives a breakdown of who those ppl might be
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I keep seeing 10-15k numbers probably mostly NGOs
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taliban are very online. were very plugged in from the start anyway, when "always online" looked like CNN on 24/7. playing news cycle, even if unideal for politics with Americans, may be better strategy for negotiations with Taliban. give them less info to work with.
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I feel more likely tho is Taliban just plans on using them as bargaining chips when it comes to diplomacy.
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Okay but how do you avoid the bad news cycle of several thousand Americans trapped in Afghanistan for the foreseeable future? That doesn’t seem like the kind of thing people just forget about.
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yeah I dont think they do basically
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