ok so gaming this out a bit there are probably several dozen thousand people we want to get out of Afghanistan of them maybe a dozen thousand Americans according to various government things we basically own the airport but Taliban control everything else i think were fucked,
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so i am imagining we could do (3) but the problem is then we're actively at war with the Taliban and even if they lose every engagement they can just start killing lots of people we want to evacuate anyway, people who are in territory they control
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so basically my hunch is that the biden administration knows its fucked one way or another and is just buying time not even to accomplish anything in all likelihood just to avoid the next bad news cycle
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anyway this is just a guess, maybe they figure something else out and actually get people to the airport. maybe seizing afghan reserves and holding those hostage will work. maybe a miracle occurs but this seems like whats going on rn
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wrt "reserves" this is what im talking about saw a story about this earlier, this is a good elaboration tldr we have all of the old governments money frozen outside of Afghanistan https://twitter.com/aahmady/status/1427883009164955649?s=19 …
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so id imagine the hostage negotiation involves the return of this money at least
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4. truckloads of cash
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I think they're gonna try 3. Too devastating not to even try.
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I dont know anything about this but I really don’t understand how extricating US citizens and allies wasn’t a priority part of the exit plan
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A single soldier being killed is a political disaster. A single western civilian stranded and hurt is a political disaster. Getting out without either happening seems near impossible. This is when people do batshit crazy stuff.
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