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They're expecting to be greeting as liberators
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If they have sufficient air cover and naval support (and that close to the mainland I imagine they would?) they may not be that easy to sink
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just shoot missiles from taiwan
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Would also cripple our importing ability from China, but I suppose that's less bad for us than for them.
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In the case of a war most shipping routes to China get blocked anyway; they intend to maintain trade over land
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Sink some, sure. They’re okay with that. This is the problem. They’re okay with a lot of things we aren’t.
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The best news here is that it makes it quite a lot harder to hide preparations. If they can’t achieve a decent level of surprise deterrence should work. Though this week hasn’t strictly helped with that. As you addressed.
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Pretty sure the United States would just seize all the cruise ships in a similar scenario. Ie Cuba.
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