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eigenrobot's profile
eigenrobot
eigenrobot
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@eigenrobot

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eigenrobot

@eigenrobot

robot. friend.

eigenrobot.substack.com
Joined July 2013

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    eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Aug 5

    eigenrobot Retweeted Dominic Cummings

    iirc this actually worked extremely well in the sense that russia was btfo'd in ww1https://twitter.com/Dominic2306/status/1423421743939690497 …

    eigenrobot added,

    Dominic Cummings @Dominic2306
    If you look at German archives you see German General Staff saying pre1914 'NOW, dont wait for Russian railway building program to change the game'. To what extent might Washington think tanks push this disastrous logic viz Taiwan? pic.twitter.com/5X50QNtIyw
    4:45 PM - 5 Aug 2021
    • 2 Retweets
    • 80 Likes
    • Tochaz Jason (((theophilus))) Arthur Niculitcheff Jack Mastrangelo Andrew Quackson Grug, Western T(obacco) Merchant 5'11'' 71IQ Whitney 'n Tarnation 🦐🚂 Kurisu 👺🦐
    9 replies 2 retweets 80 likes
      1. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Aug 5

        tangential to this though im not totally sure time is on chinas side in the medium to long term for the usual reasons demographics, command economy, etc basically their advantages are being large and having a bunch of catch up growth right but that peters out idk

        4 replies 1 retweet 50 likes
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      2. chase patterson‏ @chasewpatterson Aug 5
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        Also, weird that we accept this logic that Taiwan making de facto independence de jure would lead to the collapse of the CCP. I’m not saying it is true or not, but that it is taken as an article of faith in these discussions without much interrogation.

        1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
      3. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Aug 5
        Replying to @chasewpatterson

        oh thats weird i wasnt aware this was a common view seems maybe plausible but not obvious

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. Regretting‏ @R3gretting Aug 5
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        It's a really fascinating interview in generalhttps://www.spiegel.de/international/spiegel/spiegel-interview-with-singapore-s-lee-kuan-yew-it-s-stupid-to-be-afraid-a-369128.html …

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Bay Bruth - Master of the Lotus Punch  🦞‏ @BennyBandito Aug 5
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        Is he a Moon landing truther?pic.twitter.com/QVgVXdmiAN

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      2. F!nn‏ @finnitejest Aug 5
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        This is also the opposite of the scenario we face: China is in the position of the German general staff in having a narrow window to exploit. The United States is not actually declining - but Chinese growth is very obviously bounded by demographic and institutional realities

        3 replies 1 retweet 25 likes
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      1. Leon Aquilla‏ @AquillaLeon Aug 5
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        Chiang Kai Shek not just saying "better to rule Taiwan than pine for Shanghai" was a mistake

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2.  ⚔️ 🇩🇪Pius Dea Neophyte 🇦🇹 ⚒️‏ @KaiserSynd1918 Aug 5
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        Well, kind of. Russia was fast tracking their rail networks and that actually fucked them because the Germans could easily gauge their cars to Russian rails instead of building new infrastructure. It's part of the reason that the eastern front was so mobile.

        2 replies 0 retweets 10 likes
      3. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Aug 5
        Replying to @KaiserSynd1918

        oh huh. hmm

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
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