I havent been paying much attention to covid lately and I dont have strong opinions about any of it nevertheless this thread seems plausible at least oh wellhttps://twitter.com/WilliamBHoenig/status/1416430672948903937 …
yeah I mean measles is what r0 = 30 but seems like mutation for this is higher maybe
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I've usually seen people use R=16 so 94% on a 97% effective vaccine. Which is a world where I a) Don't notice b) Until the wrong 200 hippies get together and take out 3 counties of Northern CA.
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We have 94% effective vaccines at this point last I had heard (Two shots) So if we can stop 94 with 97, we can stop 83 with 94. If you're willing to do what must be done, which'll suck.
End of conversation
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