he highlights a process wherein mexicos population was insufficiently educated to make it to stable high income status, and then china ate their lunch in manufactures exporting, and then everyone joined gangs. gg mexico
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he notes further the alleged gender imbalance of china as an exacerbating factor although I understand that may be overstated for data quality reasons he also hasnt cited everyone becoming old as a potential stabilizing factor
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apart from humanitarian issues his major concern is that CCP legitimacy (so he claims, I have no idea) rests on twin pillars of nationalism and economic growth, and if the latter sputters out maybe they lean very heavily on the former to disastrous effect maybe. ig.
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i suppose we do have precedent for this sort of thingpic.twitter.com/5xOoWQWIbB
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the next chapter is a closer look at china's urban/rural divide in education attaching some graf's and such basically there is a segregated education system and rural-classified students (supermajority) are and have historically been hosedpic.twitter.com/RXMJzRNnqV
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perhaps they should take out loanspic.twitter.com/2Rb7YfJ0XG
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chapter wraps up with two additional claims which he will elaborate on later 1. "academic" high schools are probably fine but most students go to "vocational" diploma mills 2. in aggregate rural kids are probably stunted on account of malnutrition
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as an aside im surprised that these numbers (eg education rates) are available abroad I would have expected CCP to either goose them or suppress them because they look pretty bad not sure what to make of this
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eigenrobot Retweeted Sam Levine
wondered about this like maybe china has a different view of what looks bad than the outside worldhttps://twitter.com/samlevine/status/1415487307973492736?s=19 …
eigenrobot added,
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Replying to @eigenrobot
I'd like to think that you only kept reading so you could finish this twitter thread.
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im likely to find some of the stuff interesting. and one can learn a lot from reading something he finds weak argumentation I think
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