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eigenrobot's profile
eigenrobot
eigenrobot
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@eigenrobot

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eigenrobot

@eigenrobot

robot. friend.

eigenrobot.substack.com
Joined July 2013

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    1. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Jun 1

      eigenrobot Retweeted Maxim Lott (MaximumTruth.substack.com)

      im not super confident it will did lifting the limit to two have much effect?https://twitter.com/maximlott/status/1399644067722563587 …

      eigenrobot added,

      Maxim Lott (MaximumTruth.substack.com)Verified account @maximlott
      The kind of story that’ll get a few headlines for a day, but have an enormous impact on the world down the road: https://www.dailywire.com/news/china-now-says-it-will-allow-families-to-have-three-children-amid-fears-of-population-crash?utm_source=ground.news&utm_medium=referral …
      17 replies 2 retweets 85 likes
      Show this thread
    2. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Jun 1

      the wiki entry for the One Child Policy is brainwormed incidentally wonder how many china related articles are like this, or if its not china-driven . . . fertility related?https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/One-child_policy …

      3 replies 0 retweets 33 likes
      Show this thread
    3. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Jun 1

      eigenrobot Retweeted Mike Bird

      similar thoughts about the new three child policy from someone who has probably thought about this more systematically than I have, ht @DesidErratumhttps://twitter.com/Birdyword/status/1399264948669190147?s=19 …

      eigenrobot added,

      Mike BirdVerified account @Birdyword
      Extremely skeptical that this will have a meaningful impact on demographics, but from an economic perspective even if it did, you wouldn't see the impact on the labour market for decades. In fact, it would actually increase the dependency ratio in the short-run. https://twitter.com/JeromeTaylor/status/1399262518887915523 …
      Show this thread
      2 replies 0 retweets 20 likes
      Show this thread
    4. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Jun 1

      eigenrobot Retweeted Dictator Class Cruiser

      good point about data quality hmm I dunno I mean how many kids can one really raise on a 996 schedule? (no idea how common that is)https://twitter.com/DictatorClass/status/1399650324328030208?s=19 …

      eigenrobot added,

      Dictator Class Cruiser @DictatorClass
      Replying to @eigenrobot
      No, it didn't. China's birth rate went up slightly, but still below replacement, and then went back down. And that's according to their official statistics, which we all know can't be trusted. Independent analysts claim China's birth rates are even worse than claimed.
      2 replies 1 retweet 17 likes
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    5. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Jun 1

      eigenrobot Retweeted Evil (Political) Scientist

      https://twitter.com/knrd_z/status/1399652968094486529?s=19 …

      eigenrobot added,

      Evil (Political) Scientist @knrd_z
      Replying to @eigenrobot
      Two-cent anecdote since I've had two convos about this tonight: won't do much. Young ppl feel like they won't have time/money for it, and there's worry among young women this will hurt them bc employers will turn them down more (they don't want women who will need 'breaks')
      2 replies 0 retweets 13 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Maxim Lott (MaximumTruth.substack.com)‏Verified account @maximlott Jun 1
      Replying to @eigenrobot

      I agree that the policy *in itself* might not change much -- just allows a small % of families w unusual preferences to have more. BUT I think it signals a major shift in Chinese gov policy -- a sign that the govt will start allocating resorces and respect to big families/kids

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    7. Maxim Lott (MaximumTruth.substack.com)‏Verified account @maximlott Jun 1
      Replying to @maximlott @eigenrobot

      Would be open to a bet that Chinese rate will be higher in 5 or 10 years than it is now.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Jun 1
      Replying to @maximlott

      hmm. I would be open to this as well if there were some way of getting reliable data.

      2:16 AM - 1 Jun 2021
      0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes

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