So while Hamas was hoping for a quick show of strength aimed at the West Bank, Israel now has casus belli to go in and disarm Hamas assuming that these rockets and drones will fly at Israel sooner or later. So it's preparing a ground operation to blow up tunnels and launchers.
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Of course, most Gazans are basically just caught in the crossfire. Hamas doesn't ask their permission to put launchers on the roof and tunnels in the basement, the IDF doesn't ask before going in to destroy them. Both sides are blaming their deaths on the other.
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This round will end when enough Hamas military resources are neutralized to stop the rockets flying, which could take several weeks and hundreds of deaths. It's unlikely that this will pose an actual challenge to Hamas' continued iron rule of Gaza, so no long term change.
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Separately, there have been incidents of violence within Israel proper between Muslim and Jewish citizens, which everyone is generally just kinda stunned by and is hoping that it's just an isolated thing and not a trend. Except that...
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Israel hasn't been able to form a ruling coalition after several elections. Last week an agreement was close that would include both a right-wing party (Bennet) and the joint-list party of Arab Israelis (Abbas). Except that given the violence, both parties are now backing away.
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So Bibi is acting Israeli PM except he could be replaced any day by a new coalition, Abu Mazen rules the West Bank except he's always on thin ice, Hamas rules Gaza except they're being hunted by the IDF. So everyone's fighting but no one is securely in charge of any of the sides.
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So if you're wondering why everyone from DC to Dubai is spouting platitudes and refusing to engage, it's because no one wants any part of this horrible, hopeless mess. No one has any workable plan for Gaza that would prevent this sort of thing happening every few years.
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eigenrobot Retweeted eigenrobot
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Replying to @eigenrobot @yashkaf
Alsace chilling @ Alps
oh based plan btw0 replies 0 retweets 1 likeThanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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