claims I do not trust for a bunch of reasons which is not to say that theyre clearly not truehttps://twitter.com/TheNatlInterest/status/1387310628591841280 …
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Neither one can go nuclear. China doesn't have first strike capability over the entire continental US (yet) and the US, while it could nuke the shit out of China, isnt going to trade the west coast. It could easily turn into an extended (6+ month) slugfest
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Basically amphib operations are VERY hard, so china has to dump bodies onto taiwan, lose many of them. That's the sort of war the US military CAN be good at, but it's also more expensive than low intensity COIN in Iraq.
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