methods are trashhttps://twitter.com/Picketer/status/1386257315213369349 …
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eigenrobot Retweeted Tim Lyons
methods are trashhttps://twitter.com/Picketer/status/1386257315213369349 …
eigenrobot added,
I mean isn't this relative to excess mortality %? so one could argue the only reason it's true is that we have much lower age adjusted mortality now because we have better health/lives/healthcare whatever, but still true
I have a really hard time figuring out what these numbers are in the first place. Regression adjustment for rates of the last five years? What does that look like? What sort of trends does this assume?
uh, the source fine print seems to pretty clearly assume it's that? always assume this tries to get a result as in "excess for current population" and three years was thought to be overfitty but 20 get noise from other big excess mortality events, for example
i think all of these options are bad
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