Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • About

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
eigenrobot's profile
eigenrobot
eigenrobot
eigenrobot
@eigenrobot

Tweets

eigenrobot

@eigenrobot

robot. friend.

eigenrobot.substack.com
Joined July 2013

Tweets

  • © 2021 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Apr 25

    eigenrobot Retweeted Tim Lyons

    methods are trashhttps://twitter.com/Picketer/status/1386257315213369349 …

    eigenrobot added,

    Tim Lyons @Picketer
    *Death rate worse than 1918 flu pandemic* is (checks notes) very bad. pic.twitter.com/RNwYReFOsL
    3:06 AM - 25 Apr 2021
    • 39 Likes
    • yadda yadda etc. Dedicating Ruckus [Ten] days of Christmas Mike James MacFadden acid shill Definitely Not Eevee Some Other Nick Ducky
    10 replies 0 retweets 39 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. loaded dice genetic gambler‏ @SilverVVulpes Apr 25
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        I mean isn't this relative to excess mortality %? so one could argue the only reason it's true is that we have much lower age adjusted mortality now because we have better health/lives/healthcare whatever, but still true

        3 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
      3. Julia Rohrer‏ @dingding_peng Apr 25
        Replying to @SilverVVulpes @eigenrobot

        I have a really hard time figuring out what these numbers are in the first place. Regression adjustment for rates of the last five years? What does that look like? What sort of trends does this assume?

        2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Show replies
      1. #8‏ @perilousphoto Apr 25
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        something about “data” makes people stop asking questions “It’s math, math can’t be wrong”

        1 reply 0 retweets 6 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. Joachim Mörlin‏ @JoachimMorlin Apr 25
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        if only we had a federal death quota, then we could know if we were on track or not

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. Rob McMillin‏ @scareduck Apr 25
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        Rob McMillin Retweeted Graeme Orr

        https://twitter.com/graeme_orr/status/1386262519895916547?s=21 …

        Rob McMillin added,

        Graeme Orr @Graeme_Orr
        Replying to @Picketer
        Saw that. It's a bit fudgy. 1918 was a leap ahead of high background (and war induced) death rates. The NYT then showed this more meaningful graph. Plus 1918 decimated India but not US. Covid's hit on US -as you've said before- says a lot about its decline as a communal society pic.twitter.com/mAIHQtdo54
        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. Shea Levy‏ @shlevy Apr 25
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        Typing "linear regression" into the twitter gif box didnt' find it but you know the one I mean

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. New conversation
      2.  🦗New Free Soil Party‏ @FreeSoilAndrew Apr 25
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        The year immediately following 1918 shows the largest anomaly *below* trend mortality in the series, which depending on how you look at it either makes no sense or proves that we should expect a "harvest" effect and very low mortality next year.

        2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      3.  🦗New Free Soil Party‏ @FreeSoilAndrew Apr 25
        Replying to @FreeSoilAndrew @eigenrobot

        Love to have their time series to do some sensitivity tests with our friends Mr Prescott and Mr Hodrick

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Demian‏ @MaxDemian36 Apr 25
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        This is going viral right now it’s nice to read some criticism of it.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. Alkalimeter‏ @Alkalimeter Apr 25
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        This graph isn't ruined by trash methods, it'd be a trash graph even if the methods were valid. Y-axis is measuring as a percent of prior years expected mortality. Covid beats 1918 flu on that measure because overall mortality rates are down. The "total deaths" curve is better.pic.twitter.com/Gh86FCCLIP

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo

    Loading seems to be taking a while.

    Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

      Promoted Tweet

      false

      • © 2021 Twitter
      • About
      • Help Center
      • Terms
      • Privacy policy
      • Cookies
      • Ads info