really helpful piece by @jonst0kes about the chip fab situation and Taiwan
i have been thinking that the military aspect of a Taiwan invasion whether successful or unsuccessful is much less important than the downstream non-military impacts and this is reinforcing that beliefhttps://twitter.com/jonst0kes/status/1382145837384499200 …
-
Show this thread
-
questions coming to mind 1. how does the US respond economically to an invasion, successful or not 2. how does the rest of the world respond economically 3. what are major shifts in diplomatic configuration, probably affecting (1-2) 4. how does this affect china's stability
6 replies 3 retweets 47 likesShow this thread -
it _feels_ likely to me that china invading taiwan freaks a lot of people out and there's a massive splintering of the global trade order that isolates china and crushes the global economy for a decade, in china most of all low confidence bet but
2 replies 2 retweets 52 likesShow this thread -
Replying to @eigenrobot
Nah man that's what's going to happen You're in that mode people were prior to the last world wars; thinking people actually consider the economics of the thing
1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes -
Replying to @tigerboy74u @eigenrobot
How could Eigen like this low effort assertion ?
2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
eigenrobot Retweeted eigenrobot
eigenrobot added,
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.