Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • About

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
eigenrobot's profile
eigenrobot
eigenrobot
eigenrobot
@eigenrobot

Tweets

eigenrobot

@eigenrobot

robot. friend.

eigenrobot.substack.com
Joined July 2013

Tweets

  • © 2021 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Apr 13

    eigenrobot Retweeted jonstokes.com

    really helpful piece by @jonst0kes about the chip fab situation and Taiwan i have been thinking that the military aspect of a Taiwan invasion whether successful or unsuccessful is much less important than the downstream non-military impacts and this is reinforcing that beliefhttps://twitter.com/jonst0kes/status/1382145837384499200 …

    eigenrobot added,

    jonstokes.com @jonst0kes
    I wrote a long thing on this whole China/Taiwan/TSMC invasion thing, which I'll promote properly tomorrow but wanted to get it out, tonight: https://doxa.substack.com/p/why-a-chinese-invasion-of-taiwan …
    Show this thread
    7:22 PM - 13 Apr 2021
    • 11 Retweets
    • 108 Likes
    • 40% Evil Educator Dennis Morgan Kenny Daniel Charles Roberto Dedicating Ruckus Patriarcha Not Bill Clinton (I Feel/Your Pain) zywiec
    8 replies 11 retweets 108 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Apr 13

        questions coming to mind 1. how does the US respond economically to an invasion, successful or not 2. how does the rest of the world respond economically 3. what are major shifts in diplomatic configuration, probably affecting (1-2) 4. how does this affect china's stability

        6 replies 3 retweets 47 likes
        Show this thread
      3. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Apr 13

        it _feels_ likely to me that china invading taiwan freaks a lot of people out and there's a massive splintering of the global trade order that isolates china and crushes the global economy for a decade, in china most of all low confidence bet but

        2 replies 2 retweets 52 likes
        Show this thread
      4. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Apr 13

        if something like that were to happen it seems unlikely that the CCP-led state would survive which leads to the question of what the hell is the CCP doing now

        3 replies 2 retweets 41 likes
        Show this thread
      5. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Apr 13

        seems like either (i) CCP doesnt think the rest of the world would substantially react to (eg) a seizure of taiwan; (ii) they think they would weather economic collapse just fine; (iii) there are internal factors pushing belligerence in spite of a very bad long term outcome

        9 replies 3 retweets 63 likes
        Show this thread
      6. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Apr 13

        the belief in (i) seems plausible if you look at their diplomatic performance lately but it seems like (iii) is the usual cause of really stupid wars so i guess my money is there welp

        8 replies 2 retweets 58 likes
        Show this thread
      7. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Apr 13

        eigenrobot Retweeted

        longass subthread of thoughtful responses from @_mengde_ https://twitter.com/_mengde_/status/1382163693933367304 …

        eigenrobot added,

        This Tweet is unavailable.
        3 replies 0 retweets 20 likes
        Show this thread
      8. End of conversation
      1. Look up Knuffelberen‏ @poiThePoi Apr 13
        Replying to @eigenrobot @jonst0kes

        Thinking it's time to give up on that 5900x and grab a 5800x to build the new desktop juuuuuust in case.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. C.A. Shoultz‏ @HarrierMagnus Apr 13
        Replying to @eigenrobot @jonst0kes

        He's absolutely right that it would be a disaster for China, & probably the world as well. I think it would probably end with the PRC ceasing to exist. If they were smart, they'd simply let Taiwan go. But they seem determined not to do this.

        0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. This Tweet is unavailable.
      2. Look up Knuffelberen‏ @poiThePoi Apr 13
        Replying to @clockworkwhale @eigenrobot @jonst0kes

        Go read or watch basically anything by Zeihan. In particular, his little aside about the Imperial Era. He's been on the same kick for a decade now and it's a good kick.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      3. End of conversation

    Loading seems to be taking a while.

    Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

      Promoted Tweet

      false

      • © 2021 Twitter
      • About
      • Help Center
      • Terms
      • Privacy policy
      • Cookies
      • Ads info