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eigenrobot

@eigenrobot

robot. friend.

eigenrobot.substack.com
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    1. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Mar 31

      eigenrobot Retweeted mattparlmer  🌷

      seems likely correct although taiwan could just get ugly fast crimea seems more like a model of how things play out, more and more often. or armenia-azerbaijan but who knows!https://twitter.com/mattparlmer/status/1375708524425142273 …

      eigenrobot added,

      mattparlmer  🌷 @mattparlmer
      We're not gonna have an actual "war" with PRC, whatever ends up happening is gonna be a lot weirder than that
      Show this thread
      11 replies 4 retweets 104 likes
      Show this thread
    2. PoliMath‏ @politicalmath Mar 31
      Replying to @eigenrobot

      Explain to me how the American public gives a shit about Taiwan if it comes to an actual shooting war That bridge dun burned Sure, we have diplomatic ties, but how does the electorate care about any of that anymore? China just has to outlast a single election cycle

      11 replies 0 retweets 20 likes
      eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Mar 31
      Replying to @politicalmath

      trump spent a lot of time shitting on china to substantial success i think its more of a negative vibe around china at this point idk. any competent politician can turn a war to their favor. but who knows! also christ the chip fabs polimath

      10:00 PM - 31 Mar 2021
      • 19 Likes
      • 4th Class Officer Stoobe Roko.eth Tyler DIR DIN Noumenon John Appleseed David strongpoint PoliMath
      9 replies 0 retweets 19 likes
        1. Rusty‏ @LieutenantRusty Mar 31
          Replying to @eigenrobot @politicalmath

          Dude. We live in a world where US media shows the 9-dash line on broadcasts for the US market. Exactly how negative do you think public opinion on China is going to be allowed to get?

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. Kickin’ Karl Poppers‏ @KicknKarlPopprs Mar 31
          Replying to @eigenrobot @politicalmath

          Yeah the chip fabs are a big deal. Seems like everyone is figuring this out. Intel just announced 2 7nm fabs in AZ, TSMC putting 5nm in AZ and Samsung 5nm or 3nm in Austin. All announced in last couple of months. Big push here. Plan to abandon Taiwan by 2025?

          0 replies 2 retweets 6 likes
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        1. SanctumOfficium‏ @BlackGuelph Mar 31
          Replying to @eigenrobot @politicalmath

          all it would take is for one freedom of navigation run to go badly

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Bronze Age Colonel Thor 3’2” IQ 232‏ @lvelibertyislnd Mar 31
          Replying to @eigenrobot @politicalmath

          60% is done in the US but you’re right the margin will still be crippling to the point it would be a strategic resource

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Zach Resnik‏ @Legija_Smrti Mar 31
          Replying to @eigenrobot @politicalmath

          It's pretty simple really; a USN frigate gets close to the hostilities, purely to observe of course, and takes Chinese fire. Several of our sailors get killed, casual belli, simple as.

          0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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        1. Deep Learning‏ @SH2F088 Mar 31
          Replying to @eigenrobot @politicalmath

          Big bad communism is tried and true. Perhaps they even figure out how to paint the authoritarian aspect more brightly/clearly/distinctly? Then when antifa starts rioting to prevent the war, most/many holdouts will buy into it

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. 𒀭 and 𒇽 | Tyler‏ @TheLumpenprole Apr 1
          Replying to @eigenrobot @politicalmath

          See, I agree, cus as a jaded anarchist that has come to loathe Reagan, I can watch this video and feel like jumping out of a plane with a flag parachute. It passes, but I get it. Folks crave the sort of meaning this promises. https://youtu.be/JDVT-8tUfiE 

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        1. New conversation
        2. 4th Class Officer‏ @4thClassOfficer Apr 1
          Replying to @eigenrobot @politicalmath

          I think a decent chunk of the American public will actually care about the PRC invading Taiwan, but I don't know if it's the most important chunk. And even then, it's going to get Covington scissor'd quickly where party identification drives opinion for most of the pop.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. 4th Class Officer‏ @4thClassOfficer Apr 1
          Replying to @4thClassOfficer @eigenrobot @politicalmath

          I can see some weird crossovers (eg R2P crowd breaking from the blue side to support Taiwan, WigNats breaking from the red side to support the PRC), but I can also already basically write the talking points for how the tribes will frame the issue

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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