toy model historically, politics was a secondary identity. voting patterns perhaps reflected ones primary identity, whatever it was; coalitions formed from this contemporarily, politics is more and more the primary identity as old identities have faded out
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I generally consider that most of America's problems come from it being too big. I think we have the potential to turn it into an advantage, if we can pull off a constitutional convention to replace the fedgov. Our bigness means we could get other nations to join in repairs.
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There are other nations this big, but none of them have a government that is egalitarian even on paper. We do. We can force them to show they've been faking democracy.
End of conversation
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hmm... turn it around and I wonder why there SHOULD be much that can be predicted. We want to believe it so, but I think that's a faith position. Maybe at the periphery we can say what can't happen. Kinda like "Even with that condition, rent control still won't increase supply."
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“There was only one Industrial Revolution and we’re still living through it.” Could be less discernible patterns and more just chaotic turbulence from a massive shock
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Collapse will be the reality throughout our lifetimes. The cycle turned over in the 60s; none of us will see the "other side"; we will see the first emergence of a side foreign to our perspective. Fall of the Roman empire to the black death is the arc of our current trajectory
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It’s the human condition, it will play itself out repeatedly until that evolutionary course is fulfilled. We endure.
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Kegan wrote that mature US adults conceived of selves in institutional and individual terms. 40 yrs later we have omnipresent individualism and deteriorating institutions. Few expect to be a company man or a Marine colonel. Maybe hyperfocus on self has scrambled sense of self
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