toy model historically, politics was a secondary identity. voting patterns perhaps reflected ones primary identity, whatever it was; coalitions formed from this contemporarily, politics is more and more the primary identity as old identities have faded out
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see also BLM protests in fucking Slovenia or whatever. also US wignats stanning the CCP or whatever idk. work in progress, toy model
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on further reflection this doesnt feel original either generally nor even to me its a little tiresome "current weird trends continuing in what seems to be a bad way" i guess maybe the implication of greater interest is what this looks like in the long run
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reading Dominion by Holland right now. also compare The Final Pagan Generation thinking about the Reformation, the Thirty Years War a lot about the Enlightenment maybe we never really got past Marx either lots of historical models, feels hard to generalize from them tho
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but im not sure there's really that much to be predicted, not much space to maneuver, and maybe we understand all of this well enough so rather maybe its just a matter of strapping in and trying to make it through to the other side whatever that happens to be
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End of conversation
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The funny thing about pointing to Bowling Alone is that the chapter where he compares modern social movements to older institutions basically nailed this concept. Mostly organized via political affinity, very thin, relies more on abstract causes than a collection of particulars.
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