cognitive biases are good actually
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no, we must re-derive everything from first principles every moment and make no assumptions about past data having any correlation with future data whatsoever.
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That's not cognitive bias.
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My cognitive bias is to agree, QED
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Not hard to when you have rad cognitive biases like mine
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i remember scott alexander did a post a while back about how confirmation bias isnt really meaningfully different from normal bayesian inference and the main difference (iirc) is whether your priors are correct
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Give your data science friends the Linda Problem and be amazed
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Cognitive biases represent an improvement to decision making with no information.
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