should probably identify some things that I feel are plausible risks right now i dont have any idea how large these risks are going to focus on first order risks because most of them have tons of knock-on effectshttps://twitter.com/politicalmath/status/1348146075014610944 …
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1. per a now-deleted thread, anything happening to supreme court justices
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2. right wingers doing something really stupid
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3. democrats massively overreaching and causing a hostile rupture with establishment republicans
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4. Congressional Republicans doing something really stupid as a body. I specifically mean House republicans, I think it is unlikely the Senators will be stupid
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just generally the short term risk is anything that results in dramatic political escalation country is a tinderbox after Wednesday trump getting media purged is very bad for the medium to long term but i am personally most worried about the next month
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Replying to @eigenrobot
You should get out of Dodge, if you can, my friend
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Replying to @CarlHPetersonIV
We have ample financial resources and some ways of getting out of the city but it's dicey past that given covid and inadequate time to get citizenship in another country. Also if things get bad in the US I suspect knock-on effects will be extremely bad globally. :/
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Replying to @eigenrobot
Cabin in the woods! Unfortunately, I expect things to get much worse. I feel about mass levels of civil unrest now the same way that I felt about COVID in early February. I feel like a crazy person yelling about pumping the breaks and trying to get people to chill.
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we really need to get past lockdown fast this cannot continue
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Replying to @eigenrobot
It will continue at least through the Spring, I speculate. I think ending them could be a big release valve, but I’m not confident ending them will happen it be enough.
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