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eigenrobot's profile
eigenrobot
eigenrobot
eigenrobot
@eigenrobot

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eigenrobot

@eigenrobot

robot. friend.

eigenrobot.substack.com
Joined July 2013

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    1. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Jan 10

      2. right wingers doing something really stupid

      2 replies 1 retweet 58 likes
      Show this thread
    2. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Jan 10

      3. democrats massively overreaching and causing a hostile rupture with establishment republicans

      4 replies 1 retweet 61 likes
      Show this thread
    3. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Jan 10

      4. Congressional Republicans doing something really stupid as a body. I specifically mean House republicans, I think it is unlikely the Senators will be stupid

      3 replies 1 retweet 53 likes
      Show this thread
    4. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Jan 10

      just generally the short term risk is anything that results in dramatic political escalation country is a tinderbox after Wednesday trump getting media purged is very bad for the medium to long term but i am personally most worried about the next month

      3 replies 3 retweets 71 likes
      Show this thread
    5. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Jan 10

      (2) and (3) seem like the most likely things to happen. i have more trust in the bulk of the senate and the biden admin to keep their heads. anything with the court is a tail risk. house members seem relatively powerless in practice.

      7 replies 0 retweets 48 likes
      Show this thread
    6. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Jan 10

      some stabilizing factors: 1. the business establishment is acting independently and forcefully to exert political pressure for stability. this is potentially destabilizing in the longer term but predominantly helpful in the short term

      1 reply 0 retweets 51 likes
      Show this thread
    7. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Jan 10

      2. the supreme court will probably perform admirably if needed, and will probably given the current makeup at least mitigate if not wholly overturn some of the excesses of democrats that are likely to ensue. . . . eventually

      1 reply 0 retweets 49 likes
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    8. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Jan 10

      3. a significant portion of the republican establishment just fucking hates trump, and deeply resents being driven out of the capitol by a mob

      1 reply 0 retweets 44 likes
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    9. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Jan 10

      continuing this thought and making it explicit, this probably reduces their sense of loyal in some sense to their party and redirects it toward institutions i am genuinely grateful for mcconnell and pence holding the offices they do

      2 replies 1 retweet 41 likes
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    10. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Jan 10

      4. none of the republican state legislatures or governors (of which I believe they are the majority) did anything obviously stupid on Wednesday, and they seem unlikely to do so

      1 reply 0 retweets 35 likes
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      eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Jan 10

      5. the military doesnt want any part of this shit and its officers especially at the higher ranks seem to hate trump this is important because in spite of mixed views in lower ranks and among the enlisted it is very difficult to coordinate below the colonelcy

      2:15 AM - 10 Jan 2021
      • 50 Likes
      • Abeoma Ian Miller Erica american biologist Fifty, Foul, A Sly Drunk Kieroshark zywiec flat earth enthusiast
      2 replies 0 retweets 50 likes
        1. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot Jan 10

          idk this is where my head is. please do not take this as gospel, God knows things are hard to predict even in good times and I am a humble speculator overall i think we are likely to muddle through im gonna lose again in AV and go to bed gn, pls remember to maintain sangfroid

          3 replies 1 retweet 57 likes
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        2. Slicin' Hammer  ⚠️‏ @SlicinHammer Jan 10
          Replying to @eigenrobot

          That's because of the Obama purges and liberalization of the military. It's a problem.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Antidissident‏ @antidissident Jan 10
          Replying to @SlicinHammer @eigenrobot

          Also because Trump wanted to leave the foreign wars and a quick cycle through a warzone is an extremely useful tool for younger officers seeking to earn promotion points

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

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