seems like americas biggest disadvantage in future wars is the fact that our military industrial complex is dominated by sclerotic incumbents who make money by bribing congress to buy shitty expensive equipment am i wrong about this
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im thinking a lot about the Billy Mitchell problem now tldr he argued that battleships were going to get creamed and advocated for aircraft carriers before WW2, this got him court martialed because the admirals LIKED battleshipspic.twitter.com/NSNtS6AxOs
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the problem is the following everyone KNOWS this is a problem billy mitchell is a sterling example but not the only such case so why the hell do people keep doing this hypotheses: 1. hard to know when Mitchells are real vs charlatans 2. intractable org problems
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probably both are true but based on this im leaning toward #2https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Millennium_Challenge_2002 …
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oh very interesting about the above very interestinghttps://twitter.com/fire__exit/status/1336759194985390081?s=19 …
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another series of counterargumentshttps://twitter.com/DoppelMark/status/1336759006782742530?s=19 …
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amazing thread about military simulated battles https://twitter.com/PhilthyPhil2012/status/1336769338192273408?s=19 …
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i'm skeptical that any next war is non-nuclear. not only do "conventional" wars happen when the weaker country lacks nukes, but all the relevant players are open about planning to use tactical nukes. israel, russia, japan. why would they hold back in a real war?
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is japan discussing this? o.o
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An old boss of mine was a retired LT Col and worked in a strategic weapons planning group. His primary argument is that the supremecu of force projection in the modern era was nonnuke ICBMs with a sub 30 minute delivery anywhere on the planet paired with ewar dominance
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hmm wait a minute why is it that they use ICBMs to deliver nukes but not conventional munitions AFAIK the military usually uses ships or aircraft to launch missiles with conventional munitions
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