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say more! should the model include more than just the distribution of polling error? should it assume bigger than historical error?
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my objection is not to the conceptual structure of the model itself which i dont care about rather if its this insensitive to new information i question its usefulness
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defending the validity of a model by repeating the outputs of that model betrays a fundamental missing of the point
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also this
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Our model is so robust no amount of new data changes the outcome.
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