interesting thread, didn't know these data were available generally I would expect a blue edge for mail in ballots given rhetoric around mail ins and covid fears so in places where registered parties are even maybe implication is trump likely to be doing very well? hmmmmmmmm https://twitter.com/inteldotwav/status/1313299902655463424 …
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Pennsylvania anecdata! Anecdatum #1: Biden ads in Western PA are strongly turnout-focused. #2: the yard sign index is much more even than it was in 2016, but it's even in a 'more Dem signs' way, not a 'fewer Trump signs' way.
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#3: not predictive at all, but my neighborhood has one strong Dem street, one strong GOP street, and two streets with few signs by comparison and more balance.
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