what im getting from this is that the poll results are dominated by something weird about their specific methods and i dont think they mean much https://twitter.com/USPoliticsPoll/status/1311369335718449152 …
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Replying to @eigenrobot
huh? Doesn’t it mean something that biden was ahead in every single one?
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Replying to @LucreSnooker @eigenrobot
I didn’t watch it but Twitter opinion on my feed was probably 100% saying trump “won” so I feel like there is real info here
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Replying to @LucreSnooker
guessing specifically something about sampling is causing problems--your twitter feed one more example of such when I see error bars that wide across three polls I just shrug and think "who knows" you could use a more rigorous approach but when you try to apply it to prediction
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Replying to @eigenrobot @LucreSnooker
(contd) i think there's nothing of use here ymmv :)
12:04 PM - 30 Sep 2020
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