what im getting from this is that the poll results are dominated by something weird about their specific methods and i dont think they mean much https://twitter.com/USPoliticsPoll/status/1311369335718449152 …
guessing specifically something about sampling is causing problems--your twitter feed one more example of such when I see error bars that wide across three polls I just shrug and think "who knows" you could use a more rigorous approach but when you try to apply it to prediction
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(contd) i think there's nothing of use here ymmv :)
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could be, but i'm not so sure. i certainly know plenty of biden voters who are neurotic and prone to despair, so when they see that trump isn't just backing down (which of course he isn't going to do), they feel the sky is falling
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