LOL @NiskanenCenter defend your existencehttps://twitter.com/MiloJKing/status/1306602322651492352?s=19 …
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LOL @NiskanenCenter defend your existencehttps://twitter.com/MiloJKing/status/1306602322651492352?s=19 …
incredible https://twitter.com/MSunnergren/status/1306602722767011840?s=19 …pic.twitter.com/Eyhp2MU4P9
It's not even the dumbest thing they've written. Will Wilkinson is on their payroll.
i try not to think about that :(
we should do a version where each county is a coin flip. or person. or country
Also, the way they convert leading margins into probabilities of victory is by multiplying the margin by 5 and adding it to 0.5 (I am not making this up)pic.twitter.com/JKA3H6zhnX
my god
Lol, that was diplomatically phrased.
Remember thr discussions Nate Silver had about this pretty much exactly 4 years ago? Amazing ppl still do it...
And that people still argue that Silver got the 2016 election wrong because he said Clinton was likely to win it on election day (pro tip: she was; upsets are a thing)
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