the first tweets are probably wrong, almost surely wrong, maybe even marshall of the supreme court wrong and that's fine
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you can wait several days or perhaps months to get to some level of certainty around fresh information and that's not unreasonable, often new information comes up that makes earlier reads seem extremely dumb (remember covington, remember duke lacrosse or the rape fraternity or
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however i) your probably going to have a dumb view form regardless and its good practice to be deliberate and critical about it ii) distanced, its easy to forget that people ever thought differently when things settle and that makes you more likely to be careless in the future
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iii) practicing thinking about things makes you better at thinking about things probably iv) someday you may need to make a decision based on incomplete or potentially information, like if your playing an ace attorney game or having to decide which partisan militia to support
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in this case, i started with a rumor that is probably substantially wrong, but within a few minutes I had i) thought a little bit about how civic leaders might be modeling likely fallout in advance, and ii) learned a bit about the legal side of the case and how its proceeding
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if i had simply thought to myself "im going to ignore a thing that is probably wrong" neither of these things would have happened and i would be poorer for it
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the power of Hmmm is that it is a mindset and a social invitation you dont have to commit to a stance, in fact it is committing to not commiting and to noticing that your noticing people can go and banter about whether its true or probable, everyone sharpens their minds
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you all learn more about a thing together, and over time you learn about learning about things under pressure and have fun too in conclusion dont be afraid to be not even wrong
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extremely related threadhttps://twitter.com/antirobust/status/1234341502135894023?s=19 …
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