they just released Troy so unless that absolutely bombs I'd guess 2021 or maybe 2022 based on the past CA cadence
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What would that even look like with current technology?
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Not really that much different than it ever has. Lots of fire, lots of blood. Disease. Starvation.
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Like WWII? I doubt it. We had the opportunity to do that when I was a kid and declined. Came close a few times, but avoided it. The next big one for the US will be a regional war most likely. Probably a land war in Asia again. $$$
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i think big nuclear countries can plausibly keep it together & avoid like missile annihilation and stuff, really it hinges on the slaughterbot scenario & other equivalent mass access to cheap deadly weapons (synthetic bioterror etc)https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9CO6M2HsoIA …
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This is probably my riskiest, "Keynes before WW1" bet, but... No, we won't. I've been to almost 20 countries, we're all cowards now. Russia, Latin America, and African nations talk tough occasionally, but they don't have the money... "The Long Peace" survives depressions.
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Define total war... Afghanistan? Vietnam? World war II? I would say World war II is the only one of those that classified as "total" war, and I think has little to no chance of happening without nukes ending everything real quick.
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That of course changes if some technological development upends the MAD paradigm, but let's assume it doesn't.
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