Hmm, I've believed prediction markets are good because it provides an incentive to be accurate. But here, just watching you pay out, has forced me to also update my priors. I'd forgotten 3GD; the bet provides an excuse to remember your own past beliefs.
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Yeah :)
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since end of the year was on the table: Willing to repeat the bet? Same conditions, until end of the year? :-) Can do end of November if you care about maximizing my probability of winning :-)
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hahahaha naw I have no further information
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wholesome :')
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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@eigenrobot You can keep it forever. Let's just say you owe me $20 worth of internet betting points, which is not convertible to real life money. -
as you prefer
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