this is a massive scissor statement caught on video has me thinking about David Brin's _The Transparent Society_https://twitter.com/ByrneHobart/status/1299114248942096387 …
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Spose that beliefs about other people's beliefs can affect your private, "true" beliefs too. Eg, if you believe 25% of the population is White Supremacist maybe you get worried if you're black and start wanting policies you wouldn't if you'd thought it was 0.1%
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Most cascades discussed by Kuran are what you might call "pooling" where almost everyone ends up expressing the same thing But in contract theory we also have these fun "separating" equilibria where people end up stably split around two or more positions
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wonder if you can get to a separating cascade like this 1. People start divided a bit 2. Mild scissor statement drives some separation when they see other people disagree 3. People start thinking other people are crazy and get nervous and separate more Iterate on 2 and 3
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Pretty quickly maybe you end up with a lot of people who /are/ Nazis or White Genociders or whatever and peoples beliefs about these things are made real Lot of this depends on the parameterization of course, its Only A Model But something to keep in mind as a framework
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