I think its failure is massively overdetermined unfortunately
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if black patients have higher underlying/latent risk and white docs are assigned to higher risk patients , unless you measure that risk very accurately, white doctor/black patient outcomes will be worse, even "controlling" for risk, bc drawing from a higher risk distribution
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The physician FEs should cover it if it's just white docs getting higher-risk patients in general, but if some docs see white lower-risk parents while also getting a more diverse set of higher-risk ones, that could create the interaction they found.
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Replying to @RAVerBruggen @toad_spotted and
To me the biggest hurdles for any theory are the physician FEs, the fact the effect is specifically on the interaction, and the fact you need a theory where healthier blacks are more likely to have black docs, which is somewhat counterintuitive.
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Replying to @RAVerBruggen @toad_spotted and
Is that counterintuitive? Wealthier people are more involved in physician selection, and it seems realistic for them to select doctors like themselves. Poorer people get whoever's around when they show up. (Whether this is empirically true is another matter).
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Replying to @knrd_z @toad_spotted and
Yeah, that's one of the most plausible explanations this endless branching thread has produced!
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Replying to @RAVerBruggen @knrd_z and
so at this point you've identified one reason the results are potentially borked and you havent even touched on model selection and specification, error estimation, or overfitting this is why I just dismiss this sort of thing out of hand
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Replying to @DanFriedman81 @eigenrobot and
Evil (Political) Scientist Retweeted katie berlacher
You weren't kidding. These dipshits slandered him and got him demoted because his article questioned affirmative action.https://twitter.com/KBerlacher/status/1290353551294816256 …
Evil (Political) Scientist added,
katie berlacher @KBerlacherReplying to @londyloo @arghavan_salles and 9 othersAgain. He is no longer the EP PD. He was removed as soon as we were made aware of this piece. This is a single person’s racist view. It does not represent our program or division or institution beliefs values or mission.1 reply 1 retweet 3 likes
hooooooo boy
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