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eigenrobot's profile
eigenrobot
eigenrobot
eigenrobot
@eigenrobot

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eigenrobot

@eigenrobot

robot. friend.

eigenrobot.substack.com
Joined July 2013

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    1. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 18 Aug 2020

      generally when a model produces fantastical results you should feel good about discarding the model. and this is absolute insanity there are a million things that can go wrong in this kind of estimation and the approach used by the authors handles like . . . five of them

      4 replies 3 retweets 77 likes
      Show this thread
    2. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 18 Aug 2020

      this kind of cockup is the *norm* in reduced form microeconometrics it is remarkable only for being wildly unreasonable, and nevertheless making it through a paper-thin review process (by people whos careers are built on the same methods) because it produced the Correct result

      3 replies 6 retweets 101 likes
      Show this thread
    3. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 18 Aug 2020

      the authors are careful to run through a series of apotropaic tests to ensure that a few well-understood issues did not obtain in their model its thorough, people myself included spend years learning these Rituals its akin to making sure submarine screen doors are up to code

      4 replies 4 retweets 94 likes
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    4. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 18 Aug 2020

      if you complete the Ceremony it is extremely unlikely that anyone will bother observing that your results are absolutely cockamamie its econometrics-by-recipe "order the data in such a way, run all the standard tests, publish, gib tenure" no iota of reflection necessary

      2 replies 4 retweets 92 likes
      Show this thread
    5. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 18 Aug 2020

      This paper is so egregious that it knocked me awake If they'd claimed /using the same methods/ like "5% increase in mortality" I would have slept through it But--those methods would have been equally bad /had they produced a reasonable result/!

      2 replies 3 retweets 77 likes
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    6. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 18 Aug 2020

      I want to emphasize that in closing Everything is fucked and you don't usually see it because it's not egregious enough to break the surface but everything in social science is fucked. Don't succumb to Gell-Mann Amnesia just stop reading empirical papers. Ed Prescott was right.pic.twitter.com/g20u9dGCXE

      5 replies 10 retweets 149 likes
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    7. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 18 Aug 2020

      Special thanks to @RRHDr, @Fixed_Effects, @aaronsojourner & @LauraHuangLA for the object lesson And to @PNASNews, which my old undergrad advisor helpfully explained stands for "Prints Nearly Any Shit" You should all be embarrassed but I bet you won't be

      6 replies 2 retweets 91 likes
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    8. Christopher F. Rufo  ⚔️‏ @realchrisrufo 19 Aug 2020
      Replying to @eigenrobot @RRHDr and

      Preach!

      1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
    9. Laura Huang‏ @LauraHuangLA 19 Aug 2020
      Replying to @realchrisrufo @eigenrobot and

      Seriously? Did you even read the actual article (the academic article, not provocation-infused articles from CNN and the such) before you egg this person on with your “Preach!”

      3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 19 Aug 2020
      Replying to @LauraHuangLA @realchrisrufo and

      eigenrobot Retweeted eigenrobot

      figures and methods are in the thread it's all anyone readshttps://twitter.com/eigenrobot/status/1295939140534460416?s=19 …

      eigenrobot added,

      eigenrobot @eigenrobot
      heres some text from the methods section along with some of the figures from the paper depending on your background you may find your eyes glazing over before opening it or you may be shouting imprecations at your phone good news if your former! it doesnt fucking matter pic.twitter.com/Kowy5rCDSn
      Show this thread
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 19 Aug 2020
      Replying to @eigenrobot @LauraHuangLA and

      if you have any substantial rejoinders id be glad to entertain them incidentally but judging by your cv im guessing you werent methods lead

      7:48 AM - 19 Aug 2020
      • 2 Likes
      • 0.005 Seconds To Madness (30/300) absurdistfool
      0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes

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