Earlier today I spent some time shitting on this paper without a broader discussion of why I was doing so I shall hold forth on this matter now as I think it is revealing of the absolute state of empirical social science and microeconometrics in particularhttps://twitter.com/RRHDr/status/1295488617125687297 …
-
-
if you complete the Ceremony it is extremely unlikely that anyone will bother observing that your results are absolutely cockamamie its econometrics-by-recipe "order the data in such a way, run all the standard tests, publish, gib tenure" no iota of reflection necessary
Show this thread -
This paper is so egregious that it knocked me awake If they'd claimed /using the same methods/ like "5% increase in mortality" I would have slept through it But--those methods would have been equally bad /had they produced a reasonable result/!
Show this thread -
I want to emphasize that in closing Everything is fucked and you don't usually see it because it's not egregious enough to break the surface but everything in social science is fucked. Don't succumb to Gell-Mann Amnesia just stop reading empirical papers. Ed Prescott was right.pic.twitter.com/g20u9dGCXE
Show this thread -
Special thanks to
@RRHDr,@Fixed_Effects,@aaronsojourner &@LauraHuangLA for the object lesson And to@PNASNews, which my old undergrad advisor helpfully explained stands for "Prints Nearly Any Shit" You should all be embarrassed but I bet you won't beShow this thread
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
question that I could probably just look up myself: does race have any statistically significant effect on infant mortality generally?
-
this is one of those impossible questions, we of course see differences in average infant mortality b/t white/black, but lots of endogeniety here: income, location w/in us, etc to make causal claims we need pseudo-random assignment, otherwise selection bias
- Show replies
New conversation -
-
-
Can you explain what they mean by "control[ling] for the 65 most common comorbities?" https://twitter.com/MaiqTL/status/1295951227952353280/photo/1pic.twitter.com/8KvO6aNgr7
-
yeah they ran a giant regression with ever feature they could find without thinking about it for more than half a second uh does that answer your question
End of conversation
New conversation -
-
-
I wish Feynman's cargo cult science wasn't so overused that the words no longer have impact because its really really relevant for all these types of 'science'
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.