California: 1. End coal, don't replace with nuclear. Power capacity plummets 2. Buy from neighbors to cover spikes. Neighbors use coal for this 3. Neighbors stop selling during their own spikes-->blackouts in CA 4. "Neighbors must end their coal use"http://archive.is/MZ8A2
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eigenrobot Retweeted Mihoda
long subthread by someone who actually seems to know what he is talking about somewhat countering this hmmmmmmmmmmmmmhttps://twitter.com/Mihoda/status/1295526674587504640?s=19 …
eigenrobot added,
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Replying to @eigenrobot
idk about his explanation, 20 hours every 10 years is like 4-sigma-level, and crucial infra is routinely built to exceed that reliability it's not a matter of gold-plating, it's just building in 10% more capacity margin or w/e
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Replying to @ded_ruckus @eigenrobot
also there haven't been rolling blackouts here in my lifetime, so I don't really buy "oh it's just inevitable"
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it partly depends on how plants are designed to operate entirely plausible to me you would see much more "potential" generation than would ever be reached in probability
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