so one standard theory of crime is that p(commit crime) is a decreasing function of p(caught | commit crime) all else equal no idea what the effect of this is but making a big deal of it is likely worse for crime rates than doing it quietly bc it changes beliefs about risks https://twitter.com/bronzebarbarian/status/1293052233274159106 …
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Meaning that’s a form of punishment? I’ll grant you that but the population of CCW holders constitutes a force in being. An unknown potential threat that in many ways has more deterrence value than delayed punishment by the justice system. In my (and many others) opinions.
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Well yes and no Like generally Commit crime iff E[Value of crime - cost of crime] > 0 Likelihood of getting shot is in cost of crime, so is likelihood of getting caught I was imagining holding likelihood of getting shot constant, c.p. = "all else equal"
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