so one standard theory of crime is that p(commit crime) is a decreasing function of p(caught | commit crime) all else equal no idea what the effect of this is but making a big deal of it is likely worse for crime rates than doing it quietly bc it changes beliefs about risks https://twitter.com/bronzebarbarian/status/1293052233274159106 …
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Replying to @eigenrobot
The national clearance rate is 62%, then from that filter out all the times they get the wrong guy. It'd be wild to expect anything to get solved
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Replying to @TLEPaz @DogmanRespecter
oh yeah actually solving shit is a pipe dream this doesn't even count the murders recorded as nonmurders eg epstein
10:59 PM - 10 Aug 2020
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