so one standard theory of crime is that p(commit crime) is a decreasing function of p(caught | commit crime) all else equal no idea what the effect of this is but making a big deal of it is likely worse for crime rates than doing it quietly bc it changes beliefs about risks https://twitter.com/bronzebarbarian/status/1293052233274159106 …
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this account is PROCRIME in many cases of course but fucking come on im pro drugs and saying impolite things to Authorities not pro burglary or pro punching grandmas in the street or pro arson and such are the marginal crimes likely to result here
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all else equal I am extremely pro having fewer cops and this is the worst fucking way to get there and long run it will probably result in the other thing (more cops) good show everyonepic.twitter.com/64JbRFxQ3a
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This was basically the path for weed legalisation. Starting a preference cascade for specific crimes might be good strategy; starting a general preference cascade, isn't.
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