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eigenrobot's profile
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@eigenrobot

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eigenrobot

@eigenrobot

robot. friend.

eigenrobot.substack.com
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    1. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 28 Jul 2020

      eigenrobot Retweeted (((Harry Enten)))

      Anyone get the impression reporters have just given up on things that are important I don't even mean the election which is fairly boring But like Three Gorges Dam gets zero coverage and its collapse could plausibly have a greater impact than Covidhttps://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1287910603705716736 …

      eigenrobot added,

      (((Harry Enten)))Verified account @ForecasterEnten
      We're under 100 days til election day (and way less than that til some people start voting via mail/absentee), and the election isn't close to being the top story right now. That's not something a lot of us are used to.
      36 replies 35 retweets 329 likes
      Show this thread
    2. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 28 Jul 2020

      Surely there's private interest in this? Loooooooot of economic impact, this would wreck tons of supply lines Is the US private sector even cognizant of this? Doing any contingency planning?

      15 replies 6 retweets 95 likes
      Show this thread
    3. King of Despair‏ @johnsmi77588411 28 Jul 2020
      Replying to @eigenrobot @diviacaroline

      So would an asteroid hitting the Earth, or a nuclear war. Yes, I think the likelihood of the 3 gorges dam collapsing this year is negligible, and I think you're getting hyped up over nothing. I'm happy to take bets on this.

      2 replies 1 retweet 15 likes
    4. Divia Eden‏ @diviacaroline 28 Jul 2020
      Replying to @johnsmi77588411 @eigenrobot

      I’m not informed and don’t consider myself in a position to bet without doing more research. I appreciate the offer though! Would you be up for explaining why you’re pretty sure the chance of catastrophe is negligible?

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    5. King of Despair‏ @johnsmi77588411 28 Jul 2020
      Replying to @diviacaroline @eigenrobot

      1. The 3 gorges dam is a gravity dam. Such dams are very strong, require little maintenance, and are earthquake-resistant. They do not fail suddenly without warning. 2. Water level in the dam was higher in November last year than in recent months. The dam has been tested to much

      2 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
    6. King of Despair‏ @johnsmi77588411 28 Jul 2020
      Replying to @johnsmi77588411 @diviacaroline @eigenrobot

      higher levels in past years e.g. when it was filled to 175m. 3. In any case, the peak inflow measured this year on 21st July was only 61,000 m3/s, which is far less than the dam's maximum discharge rate of 100,000 m3/s. So, the water levels can be dropped whenever.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    7. King of Despair‏ @johnsmi77588411 28 Jul 2020
      Replying to @johnsmi77588411 @diviacaroline @eigenrobot

      4. So far the only evidence I've seen that argue for the dam being about to collapse have pointed to long-debunked stuff like the distorted Google satellite images. The Taiwanese news media make the same tired old arguments warning the dam is about to collapse year after year.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 28 Jul 2020
      Replying to @johnsmi77588411 @diviacaroline

      Huuh I may be on track to lose $20 and I'm ok with that ☺️

      3:08 PM - 28 Jul 2020
      • 1 Like
      • Divia Eden
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like

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