1/ mashing up two tweets first:https://twitter.com/patio11/status/1285238626800898050 …
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ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted 🎀 sonya supposedly 🤖
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,
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3/ Folks want epistemically simple landscapes. "THE SCIENCE SAYS X" "MY TRIBE SAYS Y" etc. Thing is ... no scientist is infallible, no tribe is infallible. So...you CAN'T trust yourself (unskilled on most things, no time to get super skilled), and you can't rust authorities
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4/ So you need a second dimension, which is your confidence in a conclusion. ...and if your confidence is under some threshhold (maybe 80 or 90%) you can (and should) simplify "I think X but I could be wrong" to just "I don't know".
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ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs Retweeted 🎀 sonya supposedly 🤖
5/ > gonna be ? ALWAYS WAS astronaut.jpghttps://twitter.com/sonyasupposedly/status/1285242001659621377 …
ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs added,
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6/ so, anyway, this mode of thinking appoaches
@eigenrobot "I refuse to have opinions". I don't go quite that far - on topics that are important, and which I either have axiomatic views, or have evidence based views that I am > 90% confident on, I'll have an opinion.2 replies 1 retweet 19 likesShow this thread -
7/ but, really, epistemic laziness - the desire to KNOW FOR SURE - is the root of many sins. Admit that things are complicated. Admit that you can't be sure.
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Replying to @MorlockP @eigenrobot
I lack the capacity to be an expert in everything. I lack the time to be expert in more than one or two things for which I possess the capacity. And historically, experts are frequently wrong. I must therefore consign most of reality to heuristics or agnosticism.
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There are ways but not for most of what ppl have strident opinions about Have a thread somewhere I should convert it to a blog post once I get that up this weekend
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