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I don’t know. Maybe I’m a bit biased but I think the August economic free fall might be the biggest nail in the coffin.
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Really hard to say
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This seems like paranoia to me bro. ask anyone election twitter - in 2016 polls were much tighter and a trump victory was well within the margin of error for any self respecting pollster. 538 gave him a 30% chance! There's way too much shit going on rn for Trump to recover imo
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Perhaps Repubs are being under polled?
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