(4) overall favor as it reduces US exposure to china and aligns incentives for local pressure groups with my preferred policies
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Yes and no
End of conversation
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cutting our capital investment in china could conceivably increase bilateral capital surplus -> increase bilateral trade deficit yes? I mean I guess it doesn't really matter but just thinking it could possibly increase our dependence on their physical goods?
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maybe! idk man fucking complicated think other policies may mitigate this as well
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No. They will simply stop business.
Everything
is
mono-consequential
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