Paths for mayors 1. Pull police et al out entirely. No bad press for cops. Good luck everyone 2. Crack down really fucking hard and hope that works. Everyone hates you and police 3. Try to muddle through like now and hope everything works out Good luckpic.twitter.com/F2rDC1I6io
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actually this is interesting they mayors can't negotiate which means they have to either go to war or capitulate entirely the riots have no leaders and no demands they can't credibly commit to ending or to anything at all
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mayors have to negotiate with police unions as well and while they're abominable they probably have some genuine constraints wrt what their members will tolerate this is a positive claim not a normative one As someone pointed out, they can demand (2) and threaten (1)
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Not thinking super crisply right now but I think this leaves protesters at a disadvantage They have one card and they're playing it and their bargaining positions is not going to get better But like if someone said "we want peace" how could they commit to ending? Don't see it
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Extremely foolish to go in without a representative to bargain on behalf of your faction once you attain a position of strength Almost seems like something a bunch of anarchists would do (ilu)
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I think overall the police win this unless the riots burn out And maybe potential future riots act as a credible threat against not reforming MAYBE. People have the attention span of gnats and they could forget if China gets hot But failing that--
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Police demand (2), pivot to (1) if they don't get it Potentially public sentiment turns against protestors, police win even more, given more power to crush things in the future
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If you support the state protest aims I think your best hope is to get this ended probably as soon as possible If you're a cop maybe you want another week Figure it out
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Replying to @eigenrobot
I mean, the original protest agenda was clear: Prosecute the police involved in George Floyd's death with the implication this would be accompanied by further reforms or more protests would occur. I don't think many people would be satisfied with that anymore.
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Yeah original was def clear but things have gone way past that
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Replying to @eigenrobot
Yeah. I did what I could. I did a little research on the issues that seem to be plaguing my local precinct, and sent a few letters with some clear things I think should be done. So at the very least I clearly told my representatives what I wanted.
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