Paths for mayors 1. Pull police et al out entirely. No bad press for cops. Good luck everyone 2. Crack down really fucking hard and hope that works. Everyone hates you and police 3. Try to muddle through like now and hope everything works out Good luckpic.twitter.com/F2rDC1I6io
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actually this is interesting they mayors can't negotiate which means they have to either go to war or capitulate entirely the riots have no leaders and no demands they can't credibly commit to ending or to anything at all
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mayors have to negotiate with police unions as well and while they're abominable they probably have some genuine constraints wrt what their members will tolerate this is a positive claim not a normative one As someone pointed out, they can demand (2) and threaten (1)
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Not thinking super crisply right now but I think this leaves protesters at a disadvantage They have one card and they're playing it and their bargaining positions is not going to get better But like if someone said "we want peace" how could they commit to ending? Don't see it
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Extremely foolish to go in without a representative to bargain on behalf of your faction once you attain a position of strength Almost seems like something a bunch of anarchists would do (ilu)
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I think overall the police win this unless the riots burn out And maybe potential future riots act as a credible threat against not reforming MAYBE. People have the attention span of gnats and they could forget if China gets hot But failing that--
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Police demand (2), pivot to (1) if they don't get it Potentially public sentiment turns against protestors, police win even more, given more power to crush things in the future
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