actually this is interesting they mayors can't negotiate which means they have to either go to war or capitulate entirely the riots have no leaders and no demands they can't credibly commit to ending or to anything at all
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mayors have to negotiate with police unions as well and while they're abominable they probably have some genuine constraints wrt what their members will tolerate this is a positive claim not a normative one As someone pointed out, they can demand (2) and threaten (1)
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Not thinking super crisply right now but I think this leaves protesters at a disadvantage They have one card and they're playing it and their bargaining positions is not going to get better But like if someone said "we want peace" how could they commit to ending? Don't see it
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Extremely foolish to go in without a representative to bargain on behalf of your faction once you attain a position of strength Almost seems like something a bunch of anarchists would do (ilu)
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I think overall the police win this unless the riots burn out And maybe potential future riots act as a credible threat against not reforming MAYBE. People have the attention span of gnats and they could forget if China gets hot But failing that--
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Police demand (2), pivot to (1) if they don't get it Potentially public sentiment turns against protestors, police win even more, given more power to crush things in the future
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If you support the state protest aims I think your best hope is to get this ended probably as soon as possible If you're a cop maybe you want another week Figure it out
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How's it in your current area? Crazy pics.
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Downtown is a mess but quite mild compared to other areas Everyone in the underclass was pushed out of the city core years ago so much less combustible material basically
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My plan is to go to sleep and hope the edgy black bloc kids have had their fill and don't go out tomorrow night.
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inshallah
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