I think there's a strong National Security case to be made for having talent allocated away from government to private sector state capacity people ignore this
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"i am very smart and i say we need more talent in the government" ok abandon your think tank sinecure and join the civil service nerd
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general framing: 1. talent is important for Capacity 2. so is organizational capital 3. firms are exposed to regular competitive pressure, esp relative to government 4. firms somewhat more likely to be functional, adaptive, better at integrating and using talent
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5. in the short run a government staffed with talent will ceteris paribus be better at solving problems than a mediocracy 6. but in the long run, nations where talent is allocated where it can be more nimbly employed will have much greater total capacity
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7. likely failure modes of mediocracy: inability of state to coordinate with private capacity generally short term crises requiring capable and coordinated responses overwhelming govt these seem likely to occur w state bureaucracies too so im not sure this is a strong counter
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think it used to be high status and possibly well paying
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tons of talented people still go to nsa (for a while, before jumping ship to google for 4x salary)
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nsa doesnt match this yeah what if there was no private crypto sector tho
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given that this will vary strongly with talented-at-what and which-federal-agency, i'm not sure this would show more than 'wants employment stability or to serve the country at expense of good pay.' but maybe that's all you're looking for.
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Air Force saw a huge recruitment spike from Top Gun, FBI from Silence of the Lambs. other spikes would be of interest.
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