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eigenrobot

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    eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 23 Apr 2020

    eigenrobot Retweeted Archive: Governor Andrew Cuomo

    does anyone have any idea about test precision or are we just bullshitting here I mean ignoring sample bias issueshttps://twitter.com/NYGovCuomo/status/1253352837255438338 …

    eigenrobot added,

    Archive: Governor Andrew CuomoVerified account @NYGovCuomo
    NEW: The first phase of results from a statewide antibody study are in. We collected approximately 3,000 antibody samples from 40 locations in 19 counties. Preliminary estimates show a 13.9% infection rate.
    Show this thread
    5:32 PM - 23 Apr 2020
    • 5 Retweets
    • 48 Likes
    • deerhunter333 Sixteen Tons His Honor Pazooki, Le Bweep of USA Stephen with more cursed knowledge Grug, Western T(obacco) Merchant 5'11'' 71IQ Vague & Candid SuperSecretSigma Ninja Champion Yakov Merkin 🇮🇱🇺🇸 ⓘ Dogs don't have thumbs
    12 replies 5 retweets 48 likes
      1. eigenrobot‏ @eigenrobot 23 Apr 2020

        kind of fun watching the general public slowly, so slowly discover these issues

        4 replies 0 retweets 40 likes
        Show this thread
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      1. Andrew "The Kid" Glidden‏ @asglidden 23 Apr 2020
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        Any study without a sensitivity and selectivity in the headline is worthless.

        0 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
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      2. James 'Vax Everywhere' Stevenson, PhD‏ @allaboutchemist 23 Apr 2020
        Replying to @its_not_jimmy @eigenrobot

        They never claimed these are results for the whole country. They even provided a breakdown by region of NY state.pic.twitter.com/TXO6qWhBJa

        2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      3. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Conor Duffy  🌐‏ @conorduffy_7 23 Apr 2020
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        My understanding is that we're still a bit iffy on the whole issue of immunity and antibodies even before we get to mass serological testing and how sensitive the tests would need to be, so I'm taking these kinds of findings with a pinch of salt

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      3. Conor Duffy  🌐‏ @conorduffy_7 23 Apr 2020
        Replying to @conorduffy_7 @eigenrobot

        (Summoning @halvorz in case I am completely wrong)

        1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
      4. Show replies
      1. eeeeeeeee‏ @babarganesh 23 Apr 2020
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        Iffy because they sampled people who happened to go to stores.

        0 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
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      1. James‏ @jambarree 23 Apr 2020
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        No, other than the quote in the NYT reporting "State officials said the test had been calibrated to err on the side of producing false negatives — to miss some who may have antibodies — rather than false positives"

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Brandon ❁‏ @btsheehy 23 Apr 2020
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        I've found it's best to just accept the results that support my existing beliefs

        0 replies 2 retweets 9 likes
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      1. Erik Streed‏ @PhysDownUnder 23 Apr 2020
        Replying to @eigenrobot

        For starters we need to know both the sample biased and unbiased (raw) false negative and false positive rates in order to make an objective judgement. Not mentioning that these rates could shift with changes to sampling protocols and processing.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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