my man, supplying troops by air is even harder than doing it by sea, in taiwan it would be impossible
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How do you keep those airfields safe from artillery, mortars, etc.? From MANPADS in the approaches? It's just not workable.
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Replying to @sgodofsk @eigenrobot
In order to have sufficient forces to provide security for the airfield, you'd have to exceed what the airfield can supply
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It's worse than that: in both entebbe and mikado the plan was to go in, do the job, get out. Going in and staying requires constant resupply. Since you mention the falklands a better comparison is the nightly Argentine C-130 flights into Stanley.
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Replying to @sgodofsk @eigenrobot
The difference being that in Taiwan, all the airports can be observed from nearby mountains that would be hard to secure.
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Replying to @sgodofsk
I usually hate ppl arguing at length in replies but I love this and I am learning a lot thank you both :) Out of curiosity--what probabilities would you place on ultimate success of a Chinese cross-strait assault? Generally, and/or conditional on [stuff you think might matter]
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Replying to @eigenrobot
I don't think the Chinese can do it yet. It's hard to say really and it also depends on how much we do to help the Taiwanese. But the naval buildup they are doing may change things in the next few years.
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Replying to @sgodofsk @eigenrobot
It is not the Chinese militar power, but it's judge economic power that would keep the US from getting in China way
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crazy how that logic only applies unidirectionally
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