what is stopping us actuallyhttps://twitter.com/nic__carter/status/1250599531928051714 …
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WAIT excuse me this is a terrible idea YOU SEE,,,
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Even if we recognize Taiwan's independence, it may not take: they'll surely have security concerns if China threatens them. Would we really uphold an alliance if it came to it? No friends. We need a credible long-term commitment to the true Republic of China. Therefore,
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Replying to @eigenrobot
we must breed dinosaurs from ancient DNA so we can provide them with an effective defensive force?
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Replying to @AlexGodofsky
eigenrobot Retweeted eigenrobot
eigenrobot added,
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Replying to @eigenrobot @AlexGodofsky
This seems utopian, whatever may be accomplished with this is not worth the likely consequence of a war with the Chinese State and the US one. The military powers of the two states are sufficiently similar (esp. since nukes are a thing) that the war is likely to be drawn out.
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International law is not effective since it is backed up by Bigger Army Diplomacy, as opposed to a consensus on international courts as a resource for resolving disputes between _all_ relevant parties of a large enough size.
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I'd even be willing to bet that getting rid of governments entirely is likely to be a more successful endavour in the long term than fixing _all_ the stuff that would be needed for a formal acknowledgment of an independent Taiwan (let alone Taiwan as a US state).
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Replying to @11kilobytes @AlexGodofsky
Fake dreams about Statehood aside, China would be hard-pressed to win a war unless (i) we invaded the mainland or (ii) it involved a ton of nuclear-armed ballistics. Too hard for them to project hard power overseas, and th second option would go very quickly :)
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Replying to @eigenrobot @AlexGodofsky
Why would the US govt. win this war if it failed to win conclusively against the Soviet backed forces that caused North Korea to exist? Similarly, why would it win this one if it failed previously in Vietnam. Wars are _much_ more complicated than handling a pandemic :p
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Wars are won by armies operating at 4% efficiency defeating armies operating at 3% efficiency Taiwan would involve a Chinese amphibious assault against an enemy with combined superior air and sea power defending its homeland The military has been training for this for decades
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