what is stopping us actuallyhttps://twitter.com/nic__carter/status/1250599531928051714 …
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Replying to @eigenrobot
China would almost certainly invade Taiwan our plate is full as-is
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Replying to @eigenrobot @nematophy
maybe not. But if the US took an action like that I imagine that there would be immense pressure on top leaders in the PRC (Xi) to appear decisive and invade... even for him a weak response to US recognizing Taiwan outright would be very damaging politically.
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Replying to @MaxwellConser @nematophy
and imagine how damaging losing the cross-strait assault would be
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Replying to @eigenrobot @MaxwellConser
Think of the economic hit alone --- Foxconn is Taiwanese, but hires millions of Chinese. Those paychecks would stop, and things get dicey back home.
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Replying to @nematophy @eigenrobot
My theory on that tweet is predicated on the CCP being willing to push immense suffering on ppl and Xi at some level only caring about several dozen macho dudes in positions of power.
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I think that's probably correct
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